Flat 2016? Good 2018, 2019 and great 2020?

In the just concluded PropertyGuru 2016 Outlook Forum, many industry experts were invited to share their views on the Malaysian property market. For me, one comment stood out in particular. PPC International’s CEO Siva Shanker predicted that 2016 will be a flat year before recovery starts trickling in by 2017 and 2018 because of elections. By 2019, the residential market could surge again in 2019 and hit a peak in 2020. This is as long as there are no unforeseen negative news. He advised that there is little need to panic because property market have cycles and typically goes through a few bad years before rebounding. Dato Seri Vincent Tiew concurred with the flat 2016 view from Siva Shanker but he said that considering 2019 and 2020 being the years when prices rise, now is a good time to buy homes.

With regards to rental market, Shanker said that it will be dropping a lot as many property speculators try to get a little bit of income to service their mortgages. Without these rentals, many may be struggling to serve their loans. PropertyGuru’s latest Property Outlook Report also predicted that the market would shift in favour of buyers and renters in 2016 due to the current supply glut. PropertyGuru Group chief executive officer and co-founder Steve Melhuish summed up the current situation concisely, “Property markets are cyclical, so things will be looking up again. People should take a long-term view towards the property market and stay positive that in challenging conditions, one is certain to find attractive opportunities.”

The panellists consisted of Dato Sri Dr Vincent Tiew (Andaman Property Management), Dr Daniele Gambero, (REI International), Milan Doshi (Wealth Mastery Academy), Siva Shanker, CEO (PPC International), Gary Chua (Smart Financing) and K.K. Chua (Armani Media).

Views from all the experts were summarised by PropertyGuru in an article:

I think it’s good to know all these pessimistic views for the property market from now till at least mid of 2016. In terms of long term fundamentals, the Malaysian property market is actually still pretty positive. In terms of smaller units and where to buy however, my advice is to look at affordability first to ensure your loan is approved. Think duration and not distance and suddenly many more options open up instead of only the smaller units. Yes, wait-and-see is definitely not a better option than view-and-offer. Just make sure we do sufficient analysis. There are so many property portals in Malaysia today. Top 8 here. Yes, I am happy as these experts actually said many things which I have written earlier. Now, let’s hope what was said actually happen. Happy reading and learning.

written on 15 Dec 2015

Next suggested article: Yes, it’s definitelysafe for a long time yet, property investment

 

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